Saturday, August 12, 2006

Cease fire... or maybe not yet

Yesterday night the Security Council of the UN approved a Declaration for a cease-fire in Lebanon, which is supposed to be backed by the 2 countries involved, as weel as by Hezbollah leader, as he has just announced, even if 'with reservations' according to CNN. At the same time, Israel is intensifying its operations in South Lebanon, multiplying by 3 the number of troops stationed there.

Top Israel's General (Lt. Gen. Dan Halutz) has said "The fact that a U.N. resolution was accepted yesterday doesn't apply immediately on the cease-fire arrangement" . Nasrallah also admitted 'we are still in a war'

What will this Resolution achieve then?
Israel will keep its ofensive as long as it deems it necessary to protect its people, while Hezbollah will keep firing rockets as long as there are Israeli troops in Lebanon.

So, how will this stop? Will the UN troops be able to stop the attacks?
Does not seem likely at all, since they were not authorized the use of force by the Security Council since Lebanon did not agree. What should happen is that Israel troops should stop the attacks so the Lebanese army can take control of the south of the country. If Israelis don't stop then Hezbollah won't step down from its positions.

Besides the risk that the UN Resolution might not be taken seriously, the fact that it took 1 month for an agreement to be achieved sent a terrible message - go on, keep killing each other!... Who is to blame for that? Only 1 person, President George W. Bush! He wouldn't ask for a cease fire before because he wanted conditions for lasting peace and he claimed Israel had the right to disarm Hezbollah - by the same logic, Palestinians would have the right to disarm the state of Israel since Israel has kidnapped not just 2 soldiers like Hezbollah did, but a big part of the Palestinian Cabinet!!

Have any of those two things been achieved?
About lasting peace, there's no comment, it's obvious that a month of killing of both Lebanese and Israeli civilians only sparks more hate in the region.
About disarming Hezbollah, it's also obvious it won't be achieved since the last month, the Israel army has moved little to nothing inside Lebanon - they claimed in the beggining that 2 weeks would be enough to control the 'Enemy'- and Hezbollah keeps firing over 100 rockets a day.

As so many times before, war is serving no purpose at all.

If the UN Resolutions are enforced, the Lebanese Army should get control over the south, and Hezbollah would move their soldiers out of the border area. That would be an achievement for Israel. But couldn't this be achieved by negotiations? Was it necessary to bomb Beirut, Tyr and so many other Lebanese cities?

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